There is not enough water for Klamath Project farmers to meet demand in 2026.
Call your water OFF. It matters as much as calling it on.
Shut-offs are arriving with no notice, and it is damaging the District's system — and may increase your annual assessment costs for unnecessary repairs. When water is turned off at the field without warning, the water already moving down the canal has nowhere to go. It reaches a closed turnout and spills.
That spill erodes banks and structures, overloads drains, and puts pressure on the very works K.I.D. is about to spend the winter repairing — the A Canal, the E Siphon and the B Canal are already on the emergency list. It also wastes water charged against the Project supply that could have gone to another patron.
This is District policy, not a courtesy. Failing to call water off is a form of water waste, and under Section 3 of the K.I.D. Water Delivery Policy the consequences escalate: written warning, then fines up to $5,000, then shut-off of delivery.
K.I.D. is likely to meet the October 15 goal its Directors set in April. With September rains, demand fell faster than the supply did, and deliveries are carrying through to that date with the available supply committed in full — no surplus.
Dewatering begins immediately after. The District moves straight into what will be a very intensive maintenance season: no fewer than three emergency repairs are already identified. Dewatering in October allows immediate work on the A Canal, the E Siphon, and the B Canal.
Reclamation directed 0.75 acre-feet per acre for Warren Act contractors in 2026. K.I.D. delivers that water to seven Warren Act districts and individual lands covering 114 Warren Act contracts. Two of those districts have now received the full directed volume, and pumping has ceased at each.
- Enterprise Irrigation District, and the K.B.I.D. acres served through Enterprise — full 0.75 acre-feet per acre delivered; the operator ceased pumping Friday, July 31, 2026.
- Malin Irrigation District, and the K.B.I.D. acres served through Malin — full 0.75 acre-feet per acre delivered; the operator ceased pumping Tuesday, September 15, 2026.
See K.I.D.'s Warren Act of 1911 page for how Warren Act priority and delivery work.
Where the Project's water stands
Both percentages are correct. The Project figure comes out higher because water K.I.D. diverts does not stop at K.I.D. — roughly a third moves on as return flow and spill to Tulelake Irrigation District and the refuges, where it is put to use a second time.
Figures are built from Reclamation's daily gage record through September 30 — 202,543 acre-feet used, 18,459 acre-feet remaining. How the rest of the season plays out:
- Next weekK.I.D. runs up to about 250 cfs to finish late-season ground, then trails off through early October.
- Oct 1Klamath Drainage District comes off this account — its diversions after that date are no longer charged against the 221,002 acre-feet.
- On/about Oct 15K.I.D. deliveries end and dewatering begins. K.I.D. finishes the year at roughly 109,000 acre-feet.
- On/about Nov 15Tulelake Irrigation District continues past October 31 and carries the remaining supply to the close of the Station 48 season, when the 221,002 acre-feet is delivered in full.
— — |
Top of the watershed to the bottom of the Project. Rain in the upper basin — Beatty, Sprague River, Chiloquin — is what eventually reaches Upper Klamath Lake; rain on the Project floor mostly reduces demand rather than adding supply.
Seven-day outlook for Klamath Falls, read live each time this page loads. Heat drives demand — a hot, dry stretch pulls the remaining supply down faster; a cool or wet turn stretches it. Source: Open-Meteo, NWS model data.
The Oregon Department of Agriculture's Seasonal Climate Forecast, issued September 17, now covers October through December. Blended across its three analog years, it shows no significant departure from average in either temperature or precipitation over the three months.
- El Niño has turned strong and is still strengthening. The June–August ocean index reached +1.8°C, and the forecaster expects it to become very strong through fall and the 2026–27 winter.
- The analog years are 1972, 1982 and 2023 — the same three that guided the last edition. All three developed the split jet stream that typically forms off the West Coast in a strong El Niño, but they did not agree after that: 1972 and 1982 turned cooler and wetter over Oregon, while 2023 turned warmer and drier.
- Confidence is mixed, and the forecaster says so. October is the weakest call — the analogs disagree. November precipitation is the firmest: all three point at or below average.
What it means for the last weeks. The District plans to end deliveries on or about October 15 regardless of the weather, so an average October neither extends the season nor cuts it short. A warm, dry stretch would raise late demand on the supply still on the books; a cool, wet one would lower it. The bigger question this forecast raises is about next year, not this one — a very strong El Niño winter is what fills, or fails to fill, Upper Klamath Lake for 2027.
The last edition's call held up. Issued August 20 for September through November, it flagged that two of its three analogs flipped from warm and dry to cool and damp around mid-September. That is what happened: about 0.62 inches of rain fell in the first week of September, Upper Klamath Lake steadied — its daily decline flattening to roughly a hundredth of a foot a day — and crop demand fell faster than the supply did — a large part of why deliveries carried past the month and on toward October 15.
Pete Parsons walks through the October–December outlook — the analog years, the jet-stream pattern, and where his confidence is higher and lower. Also available as a PDF. Courtesy Oregon Department of Agriculture and Oregon Department of Forestry.
This is a seasonal outlook, not a forecast for any given day, and it is not affiliated with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. The next edition, covering January through March, is due in late December.
K.I.D. ends deliveries on or about October 15. The A Canal is running near 230 cfs and will trail down through the second week of the month. If you have a last set planned, order it now — and call it off the moment you are done. Dewatering begins immediately after the season closes.
The District has cut its recirculation pumps and increased A Canal flow. Water not taken at the field is being directed to groundwater recharge and Spring Lake, putting it where it builds storage capacity ahead of what may be a wet winter rather than letting it leave the system.
September rain helped. About 0.62 inches steadied Upper Klamath Lake — the daily decline flattened from roughly 0.045 feet a day in late August to about 0.01 — and cooler weather pulled crop demand down, a large part of why deliveries carried past the month. The lake still ended the water year lower, at 4138.93 ft. Keno Dam held at its base flow of 750 cfs through the close of September.
Maintenance ahead. Shot Creek work is planned for October, and may move to late October or early November. The emergency repair of the e-siphon under Highway 140 is scheduled for this winter, after the system is shut in.
Low water availability is the biggest delivery problem in the District. Everything else follows from it. With only 221,002 acre-feet deemed available, canals must be run at low flow with little or no spill — and at those flows a canal behaves like a pond, which is the condition moss grows fastest in. The moss then makes delivering water at those same low flows very difficult, clogging turnouts and slowing water to the field.
This is a basin-wide condition, not a K.I.D. one. The same growth is affecting canals across the Klamath Project, including the neighboring districts, and Reclamation is contending with it at Keno Dam, where it has made the Keno release target harder to hold. Within K.I.D. the worst of it is on the D and F1 canals. Chemical treatment does not reach every species present, and repeated use risks building resistance, so it is not a cure on its own.
K.I.D. had to raise flows in the D and F1 canals for a short period to chain the moss out. Moving more water is the only durable way to clear these canals and restore delivery to turnouts. Those higher flows have to be kept up afterward — the water has to keep moving, or the moss stands back up within days and chokes the canal again. While the work is underway, and while the higher flows are held, you may see changes at your turnout.
Cleaning individual patron turnouts would consume all of a ditch rider's time and would not fix the cause.
The flushing and the flows held afterward are accounted for within the 221,002 acre-feet shown above, and do not change the October 15 wind-down.
Your water in 2026
Senior water rights come first, and most K.I.D. accounts will be on a wait list at some point this year. Wait lists can return and grow to several days as summer demand peaks. Water orders require 24-hour prior notice.
Where you stand in line
Seniority sets priority on the wait list — it does not exempt anyone from it. The most senior rights go to the top of the list when they are on it; everyone junior to them is first-call, first-served.
- VBDC (1883 right) — the most senior right (up to 50 cfs, including its 8 river pumps). May be on the wait list at times, but holds the top priority when it is.
- Henley-Ankeny (1884 right) — next in seniority (up to 49 cfs). Like VBDC, may be wait-listed, but sits at the top of the list.
- K.I.D. 13(a) “A contract” holders (1905 right) — junior to VBDC and Henley-Ankeny; orders are first-call, first-served.
- Warren Act “B contract” deliveries — 13(b) & (c) (1911) — a daily flow cap is in place; first-call, first-served, with a waiting list above the rate. (Why Warren Act lands are served in a dry year: see K.I.D.'s Warren Act of 1911 page.)
The wait list in 2026
At its peak this season the wait list reached 57 orders, on June 23 — before the SWAP and Drought Response Agency enrollments were known. As that acreage firmed up the list was worked down, and it has been clear for much of the late season.
The rules — don't lose your water
Order water ON when you want it. Order it OFF when you're done. Every time. No exceptions. Not calling water “off” wastes a valuable resource; not calling it “on” takes carefully managed water away from other water-right holders and crops.
- Orders run on a minimum 12-hour set and require 24-hour prior notice. Place them with your ditch rider or the web ordering system.
- Why 24 hours? From Upper Klamath Lake, water can take more than 96 hours to reach the far end of some canals — and it moves slower at lower flows. Once water is on its way to your order, K.I.D. cannot put it back in the lake; once it passes your turnout or pump, it is gone from your account as if it were delivered.
- Use water only on permitted acres, in a beneficial manner. Water running down roads, into drains, or sitting unused in ditches is a violation — addressed immediately.
- Waste water or break the rules and it costs you. Under Section 3 of the Water Delivery Policy, consequences escalate: written warning, then fines up to $5,000, then shut-off of delivery.
The season closes in stages, and K.I.D.'s part of it ends first. Diversions dropped sharply in early September as the crop season wound down — K.I.D. from 324 cfs on August 31 to 248 cfs on September 7. Flows step up slightly to about 250 cfs by Friday, September 11, then ease down and hold at no less than 150 cfs through October 14. K.I.D. expects to end deliveries on or about October 15.
What happens to the rest of the supply. Klamath Drainage District comes off this account on October 1, and its diversions after that date are no longer charged against the 221,002 acre-feet. Whatever supply K.I.D. does not use passes to Tulelake Irrigation District, which continues past October 31 under the adjudicated Station 48 season of use — the season that runs to November 15. The 221,002 acre-feet is projected to be delivered in full by that date.
What this means for your orders. Water orders still require 24-hour prior notice. Plan your final irrigation around the October 15 wind-down — do not count on water after it. Once K.I.D. deliveries end, orders still on the books cannot be filled.
Call your water off. Give the District notice when you finish, the same as when you order — unannounced shut-offs force spill that damages the system and wastes supply.
When deliveries end, canals are dewatered immediately and the District moves into maintenance, including emergency repairs on the A Canal, the E Siphon and the B Canal. K.I.D. will post the closing dates on this page and notify patrons through the ditch riders as they are set. Questions about your account or your last set: call the District office at (541) 882-6661, 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.
Water Year 2027 begins October 1. As soon as K.I.D. deliveries end, the District dewaters and moves into a heavy maintenance program — including emergency repairs already identified on the A Canal, the E Siphon and the B Canal — all of it aimed at being ready to deliver in 2027.
That work, the winter outlook, and what the 2027 supply picture depends on are covered on a separate page:
Part 3 · What the shortage costWho K.I.D. serves and under what authority, what the shortage meant on the ground crop by crop, the full operations log, and how 2026 compares against 65 years of record.Open the record
K.I.D. delivers to 73,650.6 contracted acres through the A Canal and the Miller Hill pumps, and its works can reach a further 60,964.1 acres under Article 14 — 134,615 acres in all. Behind those acres sit three different limits — the 3.5 acre-feet per acre adjudicated duty, each district's own contract, and the 0.75 acre-feet per acre Reclamation directed for Warren Act contractors in 2026 — and where they disagree, the lowest one governs.
The full breakdown — every district and contract with its acreage, volume, priority date and 2026 limit, checked against the Klamath Adjudication's Corrected Partial Order of Determination — is set out on its own page:
The figures above describe the water. This is what it came to on the farm.
K.I.D. anticipates finishing the season diverting roughly 109,000 acre-feet — about 1.48 acre-feet per acre across the 73,650.6 contracted acres K.I.D. serves directly by way of the A Canal and the Miller Hill pumps, without accounting for the return flows to T.I.D. and the Tule Lake National Wildlife Refuges.
At the 3.5 acre-feet per acre adjudicated duty, a fully supplied year on that acreage would be 257,777 acre-feet. That is not a paper figure: historically, full deliveries through the A Canal have averaged 259,016 acre-feet — within half a percent of it — with a median of 266,791 and a range of 216,149 to 284,132.
The contracts themselves add up to less than the right. Summed district by district, the stated contract volumes behind those acres come to 223,822 acre-feet — because the Warren Act contracts cap their districts at 2.0 to 2.5 acre-feet per acre, below the 3.5 the adjudication confirms. Where a right and a contract disagree, the lower figure governs. The full breakdown is on the District's Water Rights page.
Against that record, the roughly 109,000 acre-feet anticipated for 2026 is about 42% of a full-delivery year — and only half of the lowest full-delivery year on record.
Diverted is not the same as delivered. K.I.D. is about 63% efficient at the field; the rest moves on as return flow and spill to Tulelake Irrigation District and the refuges. That water is not lost — it is delivered onward, and the Project as a whole runs better than 93% efficient. (The 42% and 57% figures behind this are set out under The numbers in detail above.)
What the crops actually need
Reclamation's AgriMet weather station at Klamath Falls measures how much water each crop grown here uses in a season. Set against what K.I.D. put on the ground in 2026 — about 0.94 acre-feet per acre, or 11 inches — the gap is the whole story of the year.
| Crop | Inches needed | AF per acre | Covered in 2026 | Value per acre |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfalfa hay | 33.6 | 2.80 | 34% | $1,396 |
| Pasture | 26.8 | 2.23 | 42% | $143 |
| Strawberry rootstock | 25.5 | 2.12 | 44% | $4,708 |
| Peppermint | 24.5 | 2.04 | 46% | $4,708 |
| Winter grain | 24.1 | 2.01 | 47% | $663 |
| Onions | 23.1 | 1.93 | 49% | $4,963 |
| Spring grain | 22.0 | 1.83 | 51% | $663 |
| Potatoesthe least thirsty crop grown here | 21.6 | 1.80 | 52% | $4,963 |
“Grain” on this table is wheat, barley and oats. Together they are about 49,500 acres — a quarter of all Project ground, more than any crop but hay and pasture: barley near 28,000 acres, wheat near 19,800, oats about 1,700. They are also the first thing cut. At $663 an acre grain is worth a fraction of vegetables, so when water runs short it absorbs the deepest reductions — the modelling behind these figures has grain water use falling 33% in a mild shortage and 93% in a severe one, far more than any other crop. Grain is the shock absorber for the whole Project, and it is also the rotation that keeps the high-value ground healthy.
Read the fourth column. It is the share of each crop's seasonal need that 2026's on-farm water covered. Alfalfa got about a third of what the crop requires. Potatoes, the least thirsty crop in the basin, got about half. The study behind these figures states that crops here need at least 20 inches in an average year; K.I.D. diverted 17.6 inches per acre and delivered about 11 to the field.
Alfalfa is hay, and hay is beef and milk. It is K.I.D.'s largest crop by acreage, and as the table above shows, the thirstiest — and it came up shortest. That happened in a year when cattle herds nationally are at their smallest in decades and beef prices are at record highs — exactly the conditions under which more feed is worth the most. Short the hay and you short the herd, and the cost works its way through beef, milk, cheese, butter and every product built on them. Klamath County has already seen it: the beef cow herd is down about 34% from its 2008–2012 average, a decline researchers attribute to reduced irrigation water rather than market conditions, since herds held steady elsewhere in Oregon over the same years.
Which is why the order of cutting matters. When water runs short, growers protect the high-value ground and let the cheap ground go first — pasture at $143 an acre, then grain at $663, then hay at $1,396, and only last the vegetables at roughly $4,963. Vegetables are about 12% of Project acres and 45% of Project crop value. That is the sequence 2026 followed.
The damage reaches past the field, into the contracts. Processors have told researchers that unreliable water makes growers unwilling to sign for garlic and onions. The acreage shows it: Project garlic ran about 1,600 acres in 2017, the last full water year, against 133 acres in 2019. The same study concludes garlic acreage could be roughly twelve times higher under a reliable supply — and warns that processors may move their contracts to regions where the water is dependable. A short year costs this season's crop; a run of short years costs the contract, and the contract does not come back with the water.
The table covers the crops AgriMet measures. The basin grows a good deal more than that. Garlic and horseradish are both significant — Tulelake produces roughly a third of the entire U.S. horseradish crop — alongside strawberry rootstock, seed vegetables, peppermint and spearmint. On a smaller scale, K.I.D. ground also produces grapes, apples, pumpkins, lettuce, spinach, micro greens and other leafy vegetables. None of these has a published AgriMet water requirement for this station, so none appears in the table — but all are high-value, most are grown on contract, and all carry the same exposure: the water has to be there when the contract says it will be.
Crop water requirements: Reclamation AgriMet station, Klamath Falls. Crop values, acreage and contract findings: Economic Analysis of Agriculture in the Klamath Basin, Highland Economics for the Klamath Basin Research and Extension Center, Oregon State University, June 2023. Values in 2022 dollars.
Patrons made up the difference or went without. Ground came out of production — 1,022 acres through the District's own Surface Water Abatement Program, with more idled under the Drought Response Agency's programs. Where growers had wells, they pumped. Where they did not, crops were shorted, and some ground was not planted at all.
What the idling programs took out of production
The Klamath Project Drought Response Agency offered voluntary idling programs this year (No Irrigation, Limited Irrigation, and a Five-Year option). The 2026 application window closed June 15.
KWUA reports that the DRA's 2026 program exceeded its enrollment goal — the largest in the agency's history — with more than 50,000 acres enrolled — an estimate the DRA last updated July 28. The DRA is still reviewing applications, verifying enrollment, and finalizing acreage on its online public map, where you can check the parcels conditionally approved for your account (parcels not yet shown may still be pending review). Enrolled patrons will receive response letters directly and can review their submitted acreage once the map is updated. For details, see the KWUA July 2026 WaterWorks newsletter.
Through June, before either program's acreage was known, K.I.D. held diversions low and ran a wait list that peaked at 57 orders on June 23 — a hedge against over-committing the supply while demand was unsettled. As SWAP (1,022 acres, closed July 1) and DRA enrollment firmed up, the wait list was worked down. Enrollment concentrated in the one-year options rather than the Five-Year program — growers intend to keep farming, treating idling as a short-term bridge.
Program details remain posted at klamathwaterbank.com; for current status, contact the DRA at (541) 630-0752 · info@klamathwaterbank.com.
DRA and SWAP program acres — still being confirmed
- Two programs paid patrons to take ground off Project surface water this year. The Drought Response Agency (DRA) runs the Project-wide programs; the Surface Water Abatement Program (SWAP) is K.I.D.'s own.
- The DRA's 2026 enrollment drew more than 50,000 acres across the Project — the largest in its history — on an estimate last updated July 28.
- SWAP closed July 1 with 1,022 acres enrolled in K.I.D.
- The DRA is still reviewing applications and verifying enrollment, so the acres inside each district are not yet confirmed. That column stays marked pending until the agency finalizes them.
- Enrolled ground is still contracted acreage and stays in the acreage column. Enrollment means the ground came off Project surface water — some of it kept farming on a grower's own well.
The District moved the same water more than once. Through August 15 the recirculation and return-flow pumps re-lifted 18,553 acre-feet back into the system for reuse — equal to another 0.15 acre-feet per acre, or roughly a fifth again on top of what was diverted from the lake. Every one of those pumps ran at full capacity from June 1 to August 8 to hold the Warren Act contract lands at their 0.75 acre-foot-per-acre allotment without drawing that water away from K.I.D. patrons. A permitted supplemental well added a further 936 acre-feet to offset KBID's demand.
The District also returned 23,786 acre-feet to Tulelake Irrigation District and the Tule Lake National Wildlife Refuge through the J Canal and the D spill — water that served K.I.D. ground first and then went on to serve someone else's.
Delivery, recirculation and return-flow figures are from K.I.D.'s daily tracking file. Recirculation is reported through August 15, the last date those pumps were logged. The 2.24 acre-feet per acre figure is K.I.D.'s historical average diversion duty from Reclamation's records for 1928–1946; it is a planning reference, not a limit on the 3.5 acre-feet per acre the contract provides.
The District maintains a reconstruction of what the Klamath would have done without the Project, run on Reclamation's own measured daily inflow for every water year from 1961 to 2025. That work, and the era-by-era comparison behind it, lives on the Water Dashboard. Here is where 2026 falls in it.
| Measure | 2026 | The record it sits in |
|---|---|---|
| Net inflow to Upper Klamath Lake | 805,415 AF | 8th driest of the 46 years Reclamation tracks (1981–2026) — the 17th percentile. That is 81% of that period's median and 70% of its average. Measured against the longer 65-year series it is 20th driest of 65 — the 30th percentile, or 77% of the 65-year mean of 1,052,524 AF, about 247,000 acre-feet short of an ordinary year. Both are correct: the years before 1981 include a markedly drier stretch, which lifts 2026's rank in the longer record. |
| Peak basin snowpack | 4% of median | The figure the Governor cited in declaring a drought emergency. Snow, not valley rain, is what fills the lake. |
| Supply deemed available to the Project | 221,002 AF | 63% of the 349,456 AF that agriculture drew from the lake in a fully supplied critically dry year — the benchmark set from the 25 years demand was met in full. |
| K.I.D. delivery per acre | 1.48 AF/ac | 42% of the 3.5 acre-feet per acre a fully supplied year diverts; 66% of the District's 2.24 acre-foot historical average duty. |
| Deliveries curtailed? | No | Unlike 2001 and 2021, the two shutoff years in the record, water was delivered all season — at a fraction of demand, but without a shutoff. |
What kind of year this was. On inflow alone, 2026 was a dry year but not an extreme one. At 805,415 acre-feet it is the 8th driest of 46 years on Reclamation's record — the 17th percentile, at 81% of median and 70% of average — and the 20th driest of 65 years on the longer series, the 30th percentile, at 77% of the mean. The two disagree because the years before 1981 include a markedly drier stretch. The genuinely extreme years were far below it: 2021 at 478,073 acre-feet, 2001 at 545,992, 2022 at 614,390, 2020 at 653,990.
Which is what makes 2026 worth understanding. Reclamation's normalized wetness index put 2015 as the closest analog year — and 2015 ran wetter, at 818,986 acre-feet. A 4% snowpack alongside near-normal valley rain is an unusual combination, and it is why inflow came in far below what the precipitation figures alone would suggest. The shortage patrons felt this year did not come from the driest hydrology on record; it came from a middling-dry year meeting the rules now in place.
The longer pattern matters more than any single year. The dashboard's era analysis shows that since 2001, under successive biological opinions, the river, the lake and the farms have all received less than they did under the contract era — the farms most of all. Agriculture's draw fell from 99% of its need under contracts to 89% by the 2013–2019 opinion, and to 51% under the 2020 opinion. The cumulative shortfall against that benchmark since 2001 totals 1,567,380 acre-feet, of which 537,917 acre-feet was paid out to fallow ground. 2026, at 63% of a critically dry year's benchmark, belongs to that pattern rather than standing outside it.
Sixty-five-year figures, the natural-flow reconstruction, and the era comparison are from the District's Water Dashboard, which sets out its methods and sources in full. Net inflow is Reclamation's measured daily record; the 2026 figure is the full water year, closed September 30.
Why there isn't enough water
Reclamation forecast the 2026 Project water supply from Upper Klamath Lake and the Klamath River at 221,002 acre-feet — well below the Project's full irrigation demand. That shortfall is why deliveries are managed the way they are this year.
What the basin produced this water year. The shortage begins in the mountains. Peak snowpack reached only 4% of median, water-year precipitation 78% of median, and the water that actually arrived in Upper Klamath Lake — 805,415 acre-feet of net inflow for the full water year — came in at about three-quarters of the 65-year mean. Two independent measures of the watershed, the same answer. Rain on the valley floor was not the problem. Reclamation's AgriMet stations finished the water year above their long-term medians — Lorella 140%, Beatty 123%, Klamath Falls 115%, Agency 112% — and the Klamath Falls airport gage recorded 10.25 inches against an 11.27-inch average. Valley rain is not what fills the lake; mountain snow and runoff are, and the snow did not come.
The state recognized the same conditions. On May 12, 2026, Governor Kotek declared a drought emergency in Klamath County (Executive Order 26-08), citing basin snow water equivalent at 4% of normal.
The Klamath River Basin went from almost no drought to half the basin in drought in a single water year. The U.S. Drought Monitor tracks the basin as its own unit. On September 30, 2025 — the first day of this water year — 54% of the basin was drought-free and only 0.32% was in drought at all. As of August 18, 2026: no part of the basin is drought-free, 50.5% is in drought (D1–D4), and 15% is in severe or extreme drought (D2–D3) — extreme drought having more than doubled in the past week alone. Klamath County as a whole is 88.4% in drought, affecting 58,657 people, with its 16th-driest January through July in 132 years, about 5.17 inches below normal.
Sources: U.S. Drought Monitor, Klamath River Basin (released August 20, valid August 18) and NIDIS Klamath County conditions. NOAA's seasonal outlook has drought persisting through November.
Where that water went. These are water-year figures from K.I.D.'s daily tracking file and the federal gages, current to September 16. The water year runs October 1 to September 30 — a different clock than the irrigation season.
Read those together. Of the water that reached Upper Klamath Lake across the full water year, about 76% passed over Keno Dam and went down the Klamath River. Project diversions over the same twelve months came to about 238,000 acre-feet — the 202,543 charged against the irrigation-season supply, plus roughly 35,000 diverted outside it on fall and winter water rights. That is about 30% of the year's inflow, and it means more than two and a half acre-feet went down the river for every one diverted by the Project — 611,270 against about 238,000. And 47,430 acre-feet of what went down the river was Project return flow: water the districts moved and sent back to help meet the Keno flow targets.
Net inflow and storage are Reclamation's measured record; Keno outflow is U.S. Geological Survey gage 11509500. Deferred Project Supply is Reclamation's accounting of Lost River Diversion Channel and F/FF pumping returns; the 47,430 acre-foot split between the two is as of August 13, and the balance remaining stood at 5,537 acre-feet on September 30. The District's Water Dashboard carries these figures live, with the full daily record and the long-term context behind them.
The Klamath Reclamation Project is operated by several irrigation and drainage districts, and each district distributes and manages its own share of Project water under its own authorities. K.I.D. cannot control every basin-wide program or every diversion in the Project. What K.I.D. can do is manage its own operations, reduce avoidable demand, account for every drop put to beneficial use, and enforce its Water Delivery Policy against waste.
Operating within the supply figure Reclamation announced is not an endorsement of it. Under its 1954 Operations Contract, K.I.D. is a distribution agent: the contract contains no clause authorizing K.I.D. to apportion or ration Project water, and none authorizing Reclamation to assign K.I.D. a per-acre or volumetric share. K.I.D. is operating within the constraints placed on the 2026 supply while continuing to press — through its contract and the proper channels — for the water its patrons are owed. For the contract and water-right background, see K.I.D.'s Warren Act of 1911 page.
What K.I.D. is doing to stretch every drop
Beyond managing wait lists, K.I.D. is using every Board-authorized tool to reduce demand and prevent waste, consistent with the District's Water Delivery Policy and the constraints on 2026 Project operations:
- Self-regulating K.I.D.'s daily diversion from Upper Klamath Lake, and managing the A Canal headworks and Miller Hill diversions to a K.I.D.-specific average rate — coordinating with the other diversion districts on a shared approach.
- Lowering the A Canal operating level by about 6 inches, where feasible, to reduce seepage losses through the canal banks.
- Transfers between accounts capped at 0.5 acre-feet per acre, per month; K.I.D. is also evaluating whether future transfers should be ineligible for DRA validation.
- Running every recirculation pump upgraded by KBID (KBID invested nearly $1 million; the pumps target 0.75 AF/acre).
- Incorporating equitable, periodic Return Flow adjustments to Diversion Works volumes, as applicable, throughout the season.
In short, three things at once: cut the demand K.I.D. must divert, get more value from every acre-foot, and eliminate waste.
Surface Water Abatement Program (SWAP) — 1,022 acres idled (enrollment closed July 1)
SWAP is K.I.D.'s own idling program. It paid patrons who could take enrolled acres completely off K.I.D. surface water for the rest of 2026 using an alternate source they control — freeing up wet water, not paper water, so the District can keep irrigating later into the season. Enrollment closed July 1, 2026 with 1,022 acres signed up, and those acres stay off surface water for the season. Patrons already enrolled can contact the District office with any questions.
Our shared path forward
Regardless of how the year unfolded, the districts are now working together toward a single shared vision:
- Keep water moving as long as we can. We will make every effort, and use every available resource, to keep water deliveries going for as long as the supply lasts. With September rains, demand fell faster than the supply did, and deliveries are carrying past September — K.I.D. now expects to run to on or about October 15, with the available supply committed in full.
- Stay within the announced supply. The Project will operate within the 221,002 acre-feet Reclamation made available for 2026.
- Use every tool we have. With the idling enrollment windows now closed, how far the supply carries turns on disciplined daily diversion management and the acres already idled.
- We are stretching every drop. The math does not work on paper. But we are using every resource we have to squeeze that math toward a better result for the Project — and that work is showing in the numbers.
Part 4 · Refuge conditionsThe avian botulism outbreak at Tule Lake, how water through the districts turned it around, and the largest waterbird hatch in a decade.Open this section
Refuge conditions — botulism and waterfowl mortality
Two things came together on the refuges this summer: an avian botulism outbreak at Tule Lake that worsened sharply with the heat, and the largest waterbird hatch the basin has seen in over a decade at both Lower Klamath and Tule Lake National Wildlife Refuges. Water was the primary tool in both situations — for controlling disease and for keeping young birds alive to fledging. The water that moved through the districts in August did both.
Avian influenza — suspect H5N1 in the basin
High-pathogenic avian influenza is now considered suspect H5N1 in the Klamath Basin. All of the initial positives came from sites around Upper Klamath Lake. Final confirmation has to come through U.S. Department of Agriculture laboratories, and until that process finishes the status stays “suspect” — it is not a confirmed detection. Reported at Reclamation's Real-Time Operations meeting, October 1.
What it changes on the ground. Bird mortality is holding steady at roughly 20 to 30 birds per day per wetland, but the cause is no longer clean to read: field conditions suggest both botulism and avian influenza may be contributing, and sampling has been reduced for staff safety. Crews working in or around the water are using protective equipment, and water-quality sampling that depends on laboratories without certified biocontrol remains halted. Bird numbers are still climbing as fall migration builds, and additional lands are being brought into flood as water supply allows — spreading birds out to reduce density is one of the few tools available against both diseases at once.
If you are in the field. Waterfowl season is open. Standard precautions apply and they are the same ones that apply in any HPAI year:
- Do not handle birds that are sick or found dead. Report them to the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, or to the California Department of Fish and Wildlife on the California side.
- Do not harvest birds that appear sick. Dress game in the field where practical, wear rubber or disposable gloves, and wash hands, knives and surfaces afterward.
- Cook all game to 165°F. Proper cooking destroys the virus.
- Keep dogs away from carcasses, and keep harvested birds and hunting clothing away from domestic poultry and pet birds.
Public-health guidance in previous outbreaks has put the risk to the general public as low, with the higher risk falling on people in direct, unprotected contact with infected birds. This page will carry a confirmation or an all-clear when USDA completes its testing; until then, treat the detection as unconfirmed.
Tule Lake Refuge — botulism outbreak, responding to water
Warm, stagnant water and low levels in Sump 1A drove a rapid rise in avian botulism at Tule Lake through the summer, and an estimated 10,800 birds were dead by late August, and reporting in early September put the toll at 13,730 birds (Stocktonia, September 1, 2026). The water moved through the districts to the sumps turned the outbreak around. Botulism is now confirmed by USGS laboratory results, and mortality has eased to roughly 10–20 birds a day and is likely past the 2026 peak, with about 16,522 birds lost to date — far below the peak, and no longer climbing. Because the carcass load is lighter this year, the toxin is less concentrated, and managers expect a hard freeze to end the outbreak.
Those deliveries from Upper Klamath Lake ended August 24, when the lake reached the elevation at which regulation resumed. Return flows from District operations are still reaching the refuges, and that water continues to do the work — because that is how the system is designed to operate. Water delivered to Project farms drains back through the canals and drains and on to the refuges. The refuges have always been served at the tail of an operating irrigation system, not by a separate supply. Wildlife managers do not expect the outbreak to resolve fully until the first hard frost, and sustained water movement through the refuge wetlands remains the tool that works.
Water remains the primary tool for both botulism management and wildlife survival, and this summer demonstrated it: moving water through the wetlands raised sump levels and cut daily mortality within days. A flow-through arrangement is a concept, not a finished plan. K.I.D. proposed such an approach in 2023, as the Section 7(a)(3) Applicant for the 2024 Proposed Action, and it was not adopted by the agencies. It would need engineering, accounting, and agreement among the districts, Reclamation and the wildlife agencies before it could be operated — work that has not been done. In the meantime the refuges depend on what the irrigation system returns to them.
Lower Klamath and Tule Lake National Wildlife Refuges — the largest hatch in a decade
Both refuges hosted the largest waterbird hatch our basin has witnessed in over ten years, and thousands of young birds were on the water when the sumps were at their lowest. Unit 2 reached its required elevation in time. Refuge crews banded more than 3,000 juvenile and flightless adult birds over two nights — birds that would very likely have been lost without water under them. At Lower Klamath, Unit 3 went nearly dry earlier in the season and habitat there was lost; return flows are now being moved to Unit 3 through the D plant to raise its elevation ahead of winter. The immediate priority on the refuge is securing and keeping enough water on the ground to sustain these nesting areas and ensure this historic generation of birds can successfully fledge.
Fall migration has begun, and early migrants are arriving and feeding in Klamath Drainage District and on leased fields. Unit 3 is being topped off with deep-plant water from Tulelake Irrigation District, and Unit 2 is holding steady. Sump 1A and 1B elevations have leveled off, with deep-plant pumping continuing.
Lower Klamath is open for waterfowl hunting — made possible by the water held in Unit 2 — and the California youth waterfowl season this weekend is bringing significant recreation to the basin. Return flows from District operations continue to move to Unit 3 through the D plant to raise its elevation ahead of winter — again, ordinary operation of the system rather than a special delivery. Unit 2 levels are declining again, because evapotranspiration is drawing more off the unit than the water now reaching it.
The deficit is the whole story: the Thomas Transfer's 12 cfs delivers roughly 24 acre-feet a day, while evapotranspiration is estimated to take about 30 acre-feet a day off Unit 2 alone. The transfer is a helpful tool, but at that rate it does little more than hold a single unit even — it leaves nothing to raise water levels, nothing for Unit 3, and nothing for the rest of the refuge. The 30 acre-feet per day figure is a conservative estimate; actual losses across the refuge are likely higher, which widens the gap further. That gap is the urgent case for more robust water solutions on the refuges. K.I.D. continues to work with its partners toward solutions that maintain a healthy ecosystem.
What worked in 2025 — and why it matters now
Last season showed what proactive water management can do. After the 2024 botulism outbreak, refuge staff used new elevation data to identify which wetland areas were most at risk at which water depths, and alerted Tulelake Irrigation District and Reclamation early. Operations were adjusted, and daily mortality at Tule Lake fell from 100–200 birds a day to one or two. It is the same principle K.I.D. has pressed for here: move water through the wetlands before the disease takes hold, rather than after. Ducks Unlimited documented that effort in Engineering a Comeback: How Science and Collaboration Offer Hope for Klamath Basin.
Questions?
Questions about your account, your water, your wait-list status, or an existing idling enrollment?
District Office: (541) 882-6661 · Office hours 8:00 a.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Drought Response Agency: (541) 630-0752 · info@klamathwaterbank.com · klamathwaterbank.com
Part 5 · River conditionsDisease at both ends of the year — C. shasta in juvenile salmon this spring, Ich in the returning adults in August — and what the cyanotoxin sampling found.Open this section
Fish disease downstream of Keno
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife recorded Chinook salmon ascending the fish ladders at both Keno Dam and Link River Dam beginning September 22, with one Chinook counted on the Spencer Creek video system. These are the first fall-run adults observed at the ladders since the lower Klamath dams were removed.
ODFW is explicit that this is not a run-size estimate. The ladder counts are daylight video observations and do not measure how many fish are above the dams. The Klamath River spawning-ground survey recorded no redds so far, and no coho.
Downstream, California Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 2,020 adult Chinook at the Shasta River facility through September 24, along with 13 adult steelhead and no coho — running ahead of the 2001–2025 median for the date, with most of the run still ahead. Bogus Creek, Scott River and Shovel Creek had recorded no Chinook, coho or steelhead as of that date; the Scott River station went in September 18. Counts are preliminary.
The river carried two separate disease events in 2026. In the spring, Ceratonova shasta infection in juvenile salmon reached 90–100% of weekly samples by late April — though about 80% of the wild run had already gone before the first detection, and the early-June die-off fell almost entirely on hatchery fish. In late August, with the Klamath-near-Klamath gage at 23.2°C and flows near 2,220 cfs, every returning adult sampled was infected with Ich.
Coho salmon — the listed species the spring flow rules exist to protect — were essentially absent from the mainstem traps all season. And cyanotoxins were not detected anywhere in the seven lower-river samples taken on August 19. What harmed these fish was warm water and low flow, not toxins.
Two different diseases hit two different life stages of Klamath salmon in 2026 — juveniles in the spring, returning adults in late summer. Both track the same variable: water temperature.
Spring — Ceratonova shasta in the juveniles
C. shasta is a natural parasite of the mainstem that tracks water temperature. It was first detected on April 2, and the infection rate in weekly samples climbed to roughly 90–100% by late April as the river warmed. By then most of the wild run had gone: of about 580,000 natural-origin young Chinook counted this season, an estimated 80% left before that first detection, while the water was still cold.
The early-June die-off that drew coverage fell almost entirely on hatchery fish — part of the 675,000 smolts released May 14 from the Fall Creek Hatchery, about 200 river miles from the sea. Roughly 2,170 of 3,500 juveniles caught at the Iron Gate and I-5 traps June 2–5 were dead or dying, nearly all of them hatchery-origin. Spore densities in the upper corridor were already above the 10 spores per liter the monitoring program ties to a 40% juvenile mortality threshold when those fish went in.
Coho salmon — the listed species the spring flow rules exist to protect — were essentially absent from the mainstem traps all season. They are a cool-tributary fish, not a warm summer mainstem fish. Spore levels dropped off at every index site by early August. K.I.D. has set out the full monitoring record, the temperature data and the sources behind this on its 2026 C. shasta and Klamath water temperatures page.
Late summer — Ich in the returning adults
Adult salmon returning from the ocean held in the lower Klamath in increasing numbers through August, and conditions turned against them. Reclamation reported water temperature at the Klamath-near-Klamath gage at 23.2°C with flows near 2,220 cfs, and every fish sampled was infected with Ich — mild in most, severe in some — with signs of columnaris as well. Ich is the parasite behind the 2002 fish kill; it spreads when large numbers of fish crowd together in warm, low water.
On August 27 Reclamation approved a Flow Augmentation Release under the Long Term Plan. Flows below Lewiston Dam on the Trinity River rose from about 450 cfs to as much as 1,200 cfs from August 28 through September 21, using approximately 35,000 acre-feet from Trinity Reservoir — a reservoir sitting at 109% of its historical average for the date.
Reclamation stated that this release does not affect water supply to agriculture, communities, or other environmental obligations. That statement applies to the Trinity release. It does not describe the Klamath side of the system: flows past Keno Dam are supplied from Upper Klamath Lake, including released stored water, from the same lake that supplies the Project.
The scale is worth noting. The 35,000 acre-feet released from Trinity for fish health is nearly twice the 18,459 acre-feet remaining for every farm in the entire Klamath Project — and Trinity sits at 109% of average while the Project was held to about 44% of its full contract entitlement.
The fall run came in — and the quota filled
Against the disease picture, the fishery itself did well. Anglers met the Lower Klamath adult fall-run Chinook quota below the Highway 96 Bridge at Weitchpec on September 13, which under California's rules closes the adult Chinook fishery from that bridge to the mouth. The mouth itself closed September 2 and stays closed for the rest of the year.
Below Highway 96 the river remains open for jack Chinook — two-year-olds of 23 inches or less — with all adults released. Adult fishing continues above Weitchpec and on the whole Trinity River. Quota status is on the California Department of Fish and Wildlife hotline, (800) 564-6479.
A quota filled is a run that arrived. It does not undo what the warm water did to the fish holding below Weitchpec in August, but it is worth recording alongside it: the 2026 fall run supported its full recreational allocation on the lower river.
Cyanotoxins — low in the river, high in the sump
Blue-green algae toxins are often raised alongside fish health on the Klamath, so it is worth recording what the monitoring actually showed through August. Tribal programs sampled the lower river and the Environmental Protection Agency's Region 8 Laboratory ran the analyses.
| Where | Sampled | Sites | Total microcystin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Klamath — Yurok reach | Aug 4–5 | 7 | all below 0.15 µg/L |
| Lower Klamath — Yurok reach | Aug 19 | 7 | all below 0.15 µg/L |
| Mid Klamath — Karuk sites | Aug 19 | 4 | 0.56, 0.64, 0.68; one below 0.15 |
| Trinity and Klamath — Hoopa | Aug 26 | 2 | 0.22; one below 0.15 |
| Lower Klamath — Pulikla sites | Aug 26 | 5 | 1.36 at one site; four below 0.15 |
| Lower Klamath — Yurok reach | Sep 1–2 | 7 | 0.73 highest of ten samples; three below 0.15 |
| Trinity and Klamath — Hoopa | Sep 9 | 2 | 0.26; one below 0.15 |
| Gerber Reservoir | Sep 1 | 1 | none detected, all four toxins |
| Gerber Reservoirfinal sample of 2026 | Sep 22 | 1 | none detected, all four toxins |
| Tule Lake Sump 1Arefuge; advisory in place since May | Aug 5 | 1 | 8.84 µg/L — WARNING |
The river ran low. The sump ran high. Across twenty-five river samples in August, most were below the reporting limit and the highest was 1.36 micrograms per litre. Twelve more samples in September came in lower still — the highest was 0.73, and every one was below the 0.8 microgram-per-litre level California uses to post even a Caution advisory. At the same time Tule Lake Sump 1A measured 8.84, carrying a California WARNING advisory that has been posted since May.
That contrast is the lesson, and it is the same one the botulism taught. The toxin problem was not in the moving water; it was in the warm, shallow, stagnant sump — the same conditions, in the same place, that produced the botulism outbreak. Water that moves does not grow these problems. Water that sits does.
For the fish themselves, the finding stands: the harm to salmon holding in the lower river came from warm water, low flow and the parasites that thrive in those conditions, not from cyanotoxins in the river.
A second kind of algae — and it is not in the Project
The microcystin figures above come from water-column grab samples, which pick up toxins from planktonic blooms drifting down from upstream lakes and reservoirs. A separate program run by the California Water Boards with the Klamath Tribal Water Quality Consortium monitors something different: benthic cyanobacteria — mats that grow attached to the streambed, whose toxin of concern is anatoxin-a rather than microcystin, and which concentrate in the mat material rather than in the water.
In September that program recommended yellow-bannered “Toxic Algae Alert” signage at three locations. The passive-sampler results were all well under the 100 nanogram-per-gram threshold; it was the estimated percent coverage of the mats that triggered the recommendation.
| Where | Sampled | Mat cover | Anatoxin-a (SPATT) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity River at Tish Tangsouthern boundary | Sep 9 | 15% | 3.45 ng/g |
| Scott River at Indian Scotty | Sep 16 | — | 2.03 ng/g |
| Kidder Creek above Adventure Camp | Sep 16 | — | 1.74 ng/g |
All three are tributaries — the Trinity, the Scott, and a Scott tributary. None is on the Klamath mainstem, and none is in the Klamath Project or in the reach the Project delivers to. The Quartz Valley Indian Reservation separately posted a Toxic Algae Alert on Kidder Creek based on its own grab samples. The Yurok Tribe holds posting authority on its own lands and its postings are not included here.
A posting can be lifted when visual surveys or mat samples show no toxigenic mats or toxins across two consecutive sampling events, or when cooling weather and flushing rain break the mats up and conditions stop new growth.
Cyanotoxin results: U.S. EPA Region 8 Laboratory for the R9 Tribal HAB 2026 program (Yurok, Karuk, Hoopa Valley and Pulikla monitoring), and refuge and Gerber sampling reported to the Klamath blue-green algae listserv. Benthic cyanobacteria monitoring and posting recommendations: California North Coast Regional Water Quality Control Board with the Klamath Tribal Water Quality Consortium. Other sources: Reclamation news release and Lower Klamath River Flow Augmentation Release technical recommendation, August 27, 2026; Oregon State University water-column spore monitoring; USFWS Arcata outmigrant monitoring; Karuk Tribe temperature record, used with permission. Figures are provisional.
Part 6 · Stored water released to the riverBetween May and September the river carried away 121,235 acre-feet more than the lake took in. That water came out of storage.
Stored water released to the Klamath River
Across the 2026 irrigation season, 121,235 acre-feet left the Project at Keno Dam beyond what the watershed delivered into Upper Klamath Lake. That water did not come from runoff. It came out of water already in storage.
From May 1 through September 30 — 153 days — net inflow to Upper Klamath Lake totaled 130,083 acre-feet. Measured releases over Keno Dam totaled 251,318 acre-feet. The river carried away 121,235 acre-feet more than the lake received, and on 125 of those 153 days outflow exceeded inflow.
For scale: 121,235 acre-feet is more than half the entire 221,002 acre-foot supply the Klamath Project was permitted for 2026, and more than K.I.D.'s whole-season deliveries through the A Canal and Miller Hill combined.
Month by month, the gap grew as the season ran
May is the month that looks normal, and it is the one that explains the rest. Spring runoff was still arriving, the lake nearly kept pace, and only 24% of what left at Keno came out of storage. Then the runoff stopped.
June, July and August are the case. Inflow collapsed to 15,384 acre-feet, then 7,051, then 6,027 — while releases held at 51,896, 41,018 and 46,754. In August the lake received 6,027 acre-feet and sent 46,754 down the river: nearly eight acre-feet out for every one in. Across those three months roughly four of every five acre-feet sent down the Klamath came out of storage rather than out of the watershed — and those are precisely the months when Project farms were being told there was not enough water, when the wait list ran to 57 orders, and when 1,022 acres sat idle under SWAP.
September is the control. Fall inflow arrived, the lake took in 51,250 acre-feet against 45,495 released, and for the first month all season the lake took in 5,755 acre-feet more than the river carried away. Storage still fell — diversions continued — but the deficit against the river closed. Nothing about the operation changed; the hydrology did. That is what the other four months look like when the watershed is actually producing water — and it is why the four shortage months total 126,990 acre-feet beyond inflow while the season nets to 121,235.
The lake is the evidence
The inflow-and-outflow comparison is an accounting argument. The lake itself is the physical one. Upper Klamath Lake lost 331,262 acre-feet between April 30 and September 30 — from 551,100 down to 219,838. That is not a model or an estimate. It is Reclamation's own daily measurement of how much water was in the reservoir.
Read the two charts together and the argument closes. The river was running a deficit against inflow in all but one month; the lake was falling the whole time; and the lake is where the deficit was made up. The water that left at Keno beyond what came in had only one place to come from.
Where the lake's water went
Upper Klamath Lake held 551,100 acre-feet on April 30 and 219,838 acre-feet on September 30 — a drawdown of 331,262 acre-feet across the irrigation season.
| Where it went | Acre-feet | Share of drawdown |
|---|---|---|
| Delivered to Project farms | 172,829 | 52% |
| Released at Keno beyond what flowed in | 121,235 | 37% |
| Reach losses and accounting residual | 37,198 | 11% |
Put plainly: for every four acre-feet the Project delivered to a farm this season, nearly three acre-feet of stored water went down the river. Project farms operated under a hard 221,002 acre-foot ceiling, enforced to the acre-foot and accounted for daily. The releases at Keno operated under no equivalent limit.
Why 121,235 is the floor, not the ceiling
The obvious objection to a two-point comparison is that water enters the river between the lake and Keno — so some of the gap might be local runoff rather than storage. In 2026 the reach ran the other way. Reclamation's own accounting of net accretions in the Keno impoundment totals −33,447 acre-feet between May 1 and September 30: across the irrigation season the reach was a net loss, not a net gain.
The same point shows up at the lake itself. Link River Dam released 383,764 acre-feet between May 1 and September 30 against 130,083 acre-feet of net inflow — 253,681 acre-feet more than the lake took in. Much of that is re-diverted to Project use below the lake, which is why the figure measured at Keno is less than half of it. Either way, the 121,235 acre-feet measured at Keno understates what left storage; it does not overstate it.
The lake's own storage record closes the balance independently: net inflow less Link River releases less A Canal diversions accounts for the measured 331,262 acre-foot drawdown to within 435 acre-feet over 153 days — about one-tenth of one percent.
K.I.D.'s position is that no water right authorizes the release of stored water from Upper Klamath Lake for instream flow down the Klamath River. Stored water is not natural flow. It was captured, held, and paid for under the Project's works and contracts, and the Project's contract holders bear the cost of storing it. Water released from storage to meet a flow target at Keno is being put to a use that no decreed right covers — while the irrigators whose contracts fund that storage are held to 221,002 acre-feet.
K.I.D. will continue to raise this through its 1954 Operations Contract and the proper administrative and legal channels. This section states a volume and a legal position; it does not modify any contract, water right, or obligation.
Two numbers that sound contradictory — and are not
Measured across the full water year, outflow over Keno (611,270 AF) came in 194,145 acre-feet below net inflow to Upper Klamath Lake (805,415 AF). Read alone, that looks like the river never drew on storage at all. It is a true figure, and it is the one most often cited.
It is also the wrong clock. An annual total nets the spring fill against the summer draw and reports only the remainder. The lake fills in March and April and is drawn down from May forward, so the annual figure averages away the entire period under dispute. The irrigation season is when the shortage is felt, when crops are lost, when wait lists run, and when water left the lake for the river faster than it arrived. On that clock the answer does not net out: 121,235 acre-feet.
The Project is adding water to the river, not taking it
Across the water year, measured outflow over Keno was 611,270 acre-feet against an estimated natural outflow — what the river would have carried with no Project in place — of 572,623 acre-feet. Project operations put 38,647 acre-feet more down the Klamath than the unaltered basin would have delivered, 107% of natural. Of that, 47,430 acre-feet is Deferred Project Supply: return flow through the Lost River Diversion Channel (31,440 AF) and F/FF pumping (15,990 AF) that the districts moved and sent back to help meet the Keno targets. Agriculture drew 41,990 acre-feet of that credit back into use, leaving a balance of 5,440 acre-feet when the water year closed — the recirculation was not a paper entry.
The Klamath Project is not a net drain on the river below Keno. It is a net contributor — and it contributed while operating at 221,002 acre-feet against an estimated demand of 390,460.
